Monday, January 28, 2008

Month 9 Week 2 Completion

100nl Stats

10,628 Hands Played
Profit/Loss +$1151.74
BB/100 +10.84(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 19%
PFR 14%
Post Flop Aggro 2.3
Showdowns Won 51.5%
Rakeback $313(Estimated)
SignUp Bonus $140($500 deposit for new account) Now Complete

Total Proft/Loss +$1604.74

Previous Bankroll: $2300
Profits added to Bankroll: $800
Profits deducted for liferake: $804.74

New Bankroll: $3100



A good week, slipped slightly at the end but i guess that was to be expected because i ran hot this week, last week was the total opposite and to be honest id settle for somewhere in between. This has accellerated my move to 200nl and i had to withdraw 50% of my profits this week to life rake as im planning on booking a holiday to Vietnam and Cambodia in June so $800 to life rake and $800 to my bankroll bringing my bankroll from $2300 to $3100. I also have a rakerace finishing in 2 or 3 weeks which i should easily get the $500 prize in that so im going to add that to my roll in advance which would bring my roll to $3600 so if i can make $400 or more profit this week ill make the move to 200nl next week. I wont be making the move exclusively ill basically play the best games available between 100nl and 200nl with the preference towards 200nl but rather than play a tight 200nl game when traffic is low ill play a loose 100nl instead. Anyway this is good, i hope to build on this and i think its good i got the finger out and started trying to make things happen although im under no illussion that this is just 1 week and i cant expect to have this every week.

Monday, January 21, 2008

Am i Dillusional?

Jop said...
I wonder what you are doing to improve your game.
When I read your blog it seems full of posts where you tell that you had another losing week. Playing 9 tables and nitting it up is imho bad if your game is not great yet. You could better take some time 2 tabling or so, or reviewing sessions in depth, than 9 tabling like a bot.

Just my 2 cents


I do alot to improve my game but i dont really discuss details on this blog because i dont think it would be an advantage to giving people who read this play against me on a regular basis.

I started this blog moreso for a discipline point of view but i do discuss whats going on im my game just not in detail, its more of a stats results blog to shame me into keeping disciplined. Yes i have leaks and yes even up to recently i had some reasonable leaks and i probably still have lots of leaks but im constantly improving, constantly thinking and reviewing my game and i think im playing as well as i ever have from an ability point of view and also a discipline point of view, but over the past 8 months on this blog i think ive came a long way and in particular i feel over the last few weeks i think ive made considerable strides in improving my game which i referred to at the time saying i felt things just clicked.

Maybe im being dellusional because my results havent reflected that recently but i think over the last few weeks i have been hitting bad variance even when i was doing well and i feel i can really push on now over the next few weeks. Weve heard it all before but even the top players have went through huge spells of bad variance, i read Jmans well the other morning and he commented that he ran well for the first 2 years and that had he experinced the variance that he experienced since that he may not have stuck it out.

I post my Hands regularly on forums and im involved in a private forum where we discuss theory, hand histories and do video sessions and a few other things. Youll rarely see a day pass when i dont write or reply to a HH or thread on theory.

I think up to the last few weeks i was doing things that were lowering my winrate considerably yet i had alot more leaks when i was easily beating 100nl in October and Early November, the difference i think was i was running hot then wheras im running bad now.

On the 9 tabling thing, there was a rakerace with $7.5k 1st prize for 2 weeks on ipoker, i taught that was worth a shot, after 2 days it seemed obvious i wasnt going to be anywhere near the top few so i just gave up. Its not something i plan on continuing, i wasnt abandoning my game to persue multitabling or neglecting the improvement of my game just capatilising on what i taught was a +EV oppurtunity but the competition was alot harder than i expected.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

A new Dawn And A New Challenge

Ok, this blog is beginning to get boring to be honest. I dont have the same motivation to keep it going, largely because the results havent been impressive. Anyway to recap im doing this fulltime now for the past 2 months and people must be laughing themseleves silly thinking im play 100nl for a living.

I was deluded by what looks like a hot streak i hit in Oct/Nov and taught i would be fine but my expectations were too high, that seems a long time ago now but im still learning the game and it was only just over a year ago that i didnt even know which was the better hand a four of a kind or a straight so ive come a long way.

Although it also seems clear now that over the last 6 months im a losing player not including rake and possibly even a losing player with rake but i think where im at now in my game i think im good enough to be a winning player at 100nl or 200nl and i do think although alot of my losses are down to playing bad/tilting that i certainly havent been having a hot streak since Mid November so i think im sliightly under-represented but only time will tell on that.

So i think a fresh challenge is in order, i had previously said im happy to plug away at 100nl until i clear some loans and bills and then make a break for 200nl. Since its obvious now that playing 100nl and withdrawing life expenses is going to make this a dreadfully slow and painstaking ordeal ive decided im going to commit to working on increasing my bankroll as soon as possible so i can move up.

I dont think i can continue in the medium term to play 100nl as a fulltime job and i really want to continue playing poker full time so i need to move up for the extra financial gain, then i will be in a better position to clear loand and bills quicker.

So heres the plan. Im back playing 6 tables now, i felt 4 was too slow for me and i can still play well 6tabling and using HM to get the most of stats. So i figure i can put in an average of 7k hands a week. Im setting myself a target of approx 4bb/100 and if i cant achieve that then it dosent matter i shouldnt be at 200nl.

My Current Bankroll is about $2.3k which has obviously been dented over the last few weeks. I want to get to about 4k which will be 20 buyins for 200nl and ill take shots, if i lose 6-7 buyins ill drop and rebuild to 4k again and retry.

So where before i was basically paying bills and leaving myself with 20-25 buyins bankroll for 100nl now i will withdraw the minimum i need and leave the rest for my bankroll.

So if i achieve approx 4bb/100 then i should be taking in $300 + $200 rakeback, if i can stick away 1/2 of that every week i should have enough to take shots in about 7 weeks hopefully sooner. So by Month 11 Week 1 i should be reporting on 200nl stats.

Month 9 Week 1 Completion

So much for increasing my winrate, had another bad week but hell i really ran bad, i done alot of reviewing of my hands and im pretty confident i played very well but sick beat followed after sick beat and it didnt let up, i did manage to claw from about 15 or 16 buyins down to around 9 buyins down later in the week though. Ive read a bit about downswings though and really i should be too concerned by it because what ive seen is nothing compared with some runs out there. I did play alot of hands this week because i made an attempt at the Ipoker big 100k Rakerace but gave up after a few days when i realised ipoker is either full of robots or people who 16 table 10 hours a day.

Anyway my bonus and rakeback, which seems to save me alot lately, stood up once again to turn my horrible week into a medium loss due to the amount of hands i got played. Ive only about $140 left in that bonus so i wont have that comfort next week. The extra hands i played didnt have an impact on my win rate though, basically i tightened up when i was 9 tabling which will be evident in my stats this week.















100nl Stats

13841 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$884.72
BB/100 -6.39(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 17%
PFR 14%
Post Flop Aggro 2.8
Showdowns Won 50%
Rakeback $375(Estimated)
SignUp Bonus $260($500 deposit for new account)


Total Proft/Loss -$249.72

Monday, January 14, 2008

Month 8 Week 4 Completion

Well the end of another month, overall im happy enough as its an improvement but i still have to believe i can improve an awful lot more. I had a small blowup during one of the days when i probably lost 2-3 buyins from making calls i felt i could have got away from but other than that i felt it was probably the best month ive put in, Not the most profitable but probably the most solid.

In saying that i done alot of review work using Holdem Manager and ive found what i consider to be a huge leak, as i dont want to be openly discussing my weaknesses on a public blog i wont say too much but i really expect that i can improve my results by at least 50% now that ive spotted this leak.

Anyway on to results, the cards just didnt run for me this week but i guess thats how it goes sometimes. I also have a new account now, which i setup so my account is in Euro which helps with currency converter charges when withdrawing to my moneybookers account and i got another $500 deposit bonus which is great.

100nl Stats

6472 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$407.82
BB/100 -6.30(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 22%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.37
Showdowns Won 51%
Rakeback $209(Estimated)
SignUp Bonus $100($500 deposit for new account)


Total Proft/Loss -$98.82














I dont have the monthly stats as i switched database from PT to Holdem Manager but heres the final profit for the month including all bonuses, if im honest bonuses and rakeback were my main earners this month.

Total Profit for the Month $2,513.76

Sunday, January 6, 2008

Month 8 Week 3 Completion

100nl Stats

6573 Hands Played
Profit/Loss +$371.83
BB/100 +5.66(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 22%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.8
Showdowns Won 49%
Rakeback $233(Estimated)
Reload Bonus $140(Lodged $1200 to take advantage of 50% reload bonus)
Reload Bonus Now Complete
GJP Points Bonus +$36

Total Proft/Loss +$780.83














Another steady week, not crushing but steady and i was really happy with my game. Ive also decided to play just 4 tables anymore, 5 sometimes if theres juicy tables but 4 mostly. This is so i can give my full concentration to as many decisions as possible. Ive also changed over to using Holdem Manager which i could sing the praises of but i dont want to because i hope most people buy PT3 instead, all the better for me.

So im still waiting on word back about my coaching and hopefully that will help me improve further. I should also add with only 4 tables i can only expect between 5-6k hands a week now but im firmly of the belief that i can make more money playing 4 tables than i could playing 6 even though i lose out on rake and rakeraces if i can just save 1 buyin a week i think it would easily make up for that.

Friday, January 4, 2008

Month 8 Week 2 Completion

100nl Stats

6,679 Hands Played
Profit/Loss +$478.10
BB/100 +7.15(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 20%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 2.47
Showdowns Won 53%
Rakeback $190(Estimated)
Reload Bonus $160(Lodged $1200 to take advantage of 50% reload bonus)

Total Proft/Loss +$828.10

Not a bad week, its nice for a change to at least feel like im heading in the right direction, im feeling good about my game but i still feel i must be doing something wrong that im not beating the levels consistently so ive approached HJ from boards.ie for some coaching and hopefully we can get going on that this next week. Anyway i feel im playing well and ive seem to have gotten a grasp of 3betting and my discipline, not 100% there yet but closing in.


Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Month 8 Week 1 Completion

100nl Stats

7,038 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$72.35
BB/100 -0.51(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.99
Showdowns Won 44%
Rakeback $176(Estimated)
Reload Bonus $150(Lodged $1200 to take advantage of 50% reload bonus)
GJP xmas Rakerace took 4th place for $750

Total Proft/Loss +$1003.65



So another poor week saved only by some nice bonuses but i guess a profits a profit. I really think my games improved more over the last few weeks than at any other period since ive started, something's just clicked lately and i feel like im thinking on a whole new level on what situations are profitable and what other people are thinking about which should help me narrow ranges and broaden mine but the facts dont lie and im a losing player so ive decided ill get some coaching to see if im really running bad or playing bad and picking up any bad habits.

What my new way of thinking has made me realise though, is that even going back to the time when i was running good i had alot of leaks, some big and some small but there was quite a few and i feel ive plugged quite a few by now and i realise that sometimes leaks arent so obvious and the only way they become obvious is to post lots of hands and constantly to keep thinking about poker theory. I think there is certain times when something just dosent make sense but at a later stage it just may click and then leaks become obvious, if we switch off and stop posting hands and discussing theory then we miss these leaks.

For example if i have alot of trouble calculating accurate ranges then all my decisions and equity calculations would be inaccurate alot of the time. It wouldnt feel like a leak, i would calculate that i made the correct decision based on my equity vs hes range and would presume i had done the right thing. Only when im capable of understanding ranges accurately can i fully make use of equity calculations and plug that leak, so as i continue to increase my poker knowledge and experience i improve other parts of my game.

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Month 7 Week 4 Completion

Well That concludes another terrible month, i guess over this sample it proves im not a winning 100nl player and im not even close. I guess ill give it a few more weeks and see if things improve and if not ill try some coaching, i feel that i have the theoretical knowledge to beat this level but it seems i just cant put it into practice. Saying that i felt my overall play was solid this week but i just wasnt getting the cards but maybe thats just not facing reality.

I did however improve on discipline and i had to call an end to sessions early twice if not 3 times so i didnt get that many hands played but in reviewing the session they were just coolers, set over set, FH outdrawing my flushes, flush over flush etc but i have noticed that when im around the $300 or so mark down i can sometimes lose a buyin and pass over the threshold i had set to stop playing of $350 so ill reduce my threshold to $300 or 3buyins from now on before i decide to stop for the day. Anyway heres the results:

100nl Stats

7,055 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$1,282.97
BB/100 -9.09(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 2.82
Showdowns Won 47%
Rakeback $176(Estimated)
Reload Bonus $150(Lodged $1200 to take advantage of 50% reload bonus)
Also played 3 sng 1 of the nights when i passed my loss threshold, i came 1st in one $50 sng, 2nd in another and 3rd in a $30 sng, but because they were 6 seaters i only cashed in the 1st 2 as 3rd place dosent get paid and made a total profit of $170

Total Proft/Loss -$786.97












Month 7 Stats 100nl

43,939 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$1,326.40
BB/100 -1.51(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.3
Showdowns Won 50%
Rakeback $1,262(Estimated)
Green Joker Poker Bonus: $94
Reload Bonus $150
Also played 3 sng 1 of the nights when i passed my loss threshold, i came 1st in one $50 sng, 2nd in another and 3rd in a $30 sng, but because they were 6 seaters i only cashed in the 1st 2 as 3rd place dosent get paid and made a total profit of $170

Total Proft/Loss +$349.60

Sunday, December 9, 2007

Month 7 Week 3 Completion

Ok i decided to have a longer week so i can make my withdrawals on Monday instead of Friday so ill have money in the bank before the weekend rather than having it when the weekend is over because when i lodge on Thursday its usually Monday or Tuesday before the bank transfer is done so there is 10 days of play this week

Well another sob story and im fucking sick of it to be honest, my discipline is just horrible, i was flying along and then i had a terrible day when i could'nt win a hand and so i decided to start playing spewy obviously and just dug a bigger hole for myself, i played way too long aswell and after the 1 day session and 3k hands i was 8 buyins down. That was followed by another bad run but i kept my discipline that day.

Anyway after all is said and done it wasnt too bad of a week and to help in my discipline im committing myself to quiting for the day whenever i lose 3.5bi, no exceptions as this has happened too many times and although sometimes if i continue to play when im suffering bad beats ill go on a good run and recover but more often than not i go on semi tilt, making bad calls and bad decsions so this is the best way i think. If i could control my discipline better i could do as everyone else does and take a walk, do something else for an hour etc but i just cant trust myself and i let it get to my play so ill just call it quits wheter im playing for 10 min or 4 hours once i hit the 3.5bi downswing ill just finish playing poker and do something else for the day. But other than that day i played very well overall.




The day before my infamous downswing i had an interesting night playing poker, a regular NIT called nimsay1 made an uncharacteristic mistake when he 3bet me, then cbet the AK flop, i had AK and i pushed and he called with QJ and only the gutshot to help him. Just took a note and figured he taught i was bluffing but unusual to see him showdown QJ as he usually dosent 3bet light.

So a while later in the day he started 3betting alot, i was at hes table and figured he was tilting and this was followed by reckless 3betting and pushing almost any flop, he got lucky a few times and then i got AA, i misclicked and min 4bet hes 3bet, he pushed another villain called with AQ because he probably knew he was tilting too and i called with my AA, Then Nimsay showed down hes KQo and hit 4 to a flush to take the big pot. Shortly after i called hes now customary 3bet with 55 and flop came down 234 and as usual he pushed and i called and hes 99 held up.

But it was only to get better, he then started open pushing every single hand on the 12 tables he had running and i mean every hand, wheter someone had raised or 3bet or not he just pushed. I had 5 all ins with him AJ and AT both held up without even pairing, then 66 and 77 both also held up as did my AA. Just before he left i got dealt QQ and i limped expecting the get pushed on and he checked it down and left, not to pleased but i made my money as did half of the ipoker customers.

It was after midnight and usually quiet but as word quickly spread of a maniac open pushing every hand the action to get to the table was so fierce there was between 9 and 12 people waiting to get onto all of hes tables. On the 2 table i was on myself and another semi regular Nanka had over $1500 between us on the 2 tables and one table we were both 5bi deep but unfortunately when nimsay left he did too as i have some good notes on him and would have liked to get into a few big pots with him. So as Nimsay left all the tables were discussing how much everyone won as all the TAG's who had been waiting patiently to get a pop at Nimsay came and left in disappointment as it became apparant himself and most of hes bankroll had departed. All that was left was several deep stack tables of TAG's and i called it a night. Little did i know the following day i would have my own nightmare to deal with.

So i will be updating every Sunday or Monday anymore.

100nl Stats

18,093 Hands Played
Profit/Loss +$695.99
BB/100 +1.92(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.45
Showdowns Won 52%
Rakeback $524(Estimated)
Green Joker Points Bonus +$34

Total Proft/Loss +$1253.99

Saturday, December 1, 2007

Month 7 Week 2 Completion

100nl Stats

8,588 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$187.61
BB/100 -1.09(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 22%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.14
Showdowns Won 50%
Rakeback $262(Estimated)
Green Joker Points Bonus +$60

Total Proft/Loss +$134.39

Another poor week but i will say i played very well and the cards just arent running for me at the moment but it will come in time. One day after a 2.5k sample i counted 13 bad beat pots over $50 and alot of them full stacks, i still managed to finish less than a buyin down over that sample and for peace fo mind i posted these 13 pots for review to see if people taught they were bad beats or poor play and the response that i got was that although one or two could have been played slightly different like betting turn instead of checking turn there were nearly all bad beats or bad situations, there was one alright where i made a $50 river call which i should have got away from but it confirms for me that i am running bad but still playing well. Only a 4.5 buyin upswing on the last day salvaged this though so maybe ive turned the corner. Not much to report other than that other than im still working hard on my game, much harder than ive done before.

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Month 7 Week 1 Update

100nl Stats

10,203 Hands Played (4 day week due to holidays)
Profit/Loss -$551.81
BB/100 -2.70(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 22%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 1.92
Showdowns Won 48%
Rakeback $300(Estimated)

Total Proft/Loss -$251.81

Ok lots to get through and i think this will turn into a bit of a novel. Ive been doing alot of soul searching and doubting my game, im still playing 3bet pots badly but ill eventually get a grip on this. Ive as always done alot of hand reviews and have been thinking through my game and ive think ive identified more leaks which i wont go into for obvious reasons.

So due to horrible variance which sends me on tilt and with 9 tables running even though i dont tilt for long i start turning into a calling station and playing exactly like the people im chasing. Its like a scene out of The Fly, where he comes out of the vacuum chamber and slowly but surely he starts growing wings and the eyes of a fly, this was me except i was growing fins and a tail and every 5 seconds i kept forgetting telling myself to stop spewing chips. So it again came to surface after i only managed a short 4 day week due to been away on holidays, i had 2 good days building a profit of about $500 and by the end of day3 i was down over 8 Buy ins. Sick is an understatement especially since i felt i was finally coming through this bad spell. I will admit im having horrible variance but im also spewing too much.

Image Taken From HowToRunShite.com



So anyways the changes ive put in place from this week on, some ive already started practicing and others are new. Firstly since im officially playing professionally, if i can use the word the way im playing, ive decided to treat it a bit more like a business. I need to devise a sink plug to stop me spewing chips down the drain when im running bad so i stop now when i make 2 bad mistakes or when ive played for 2 hours or if i lose 3 buyins. I generally stick to 2-3 x 1-2 hour sessions.

Also i review each and every single session and write a report on how i play, not so my boss can review the report but i find when i write something i pay more attention to it than just thinking it which can fade quickly so i find this makes me recognises where i went wrong more vividly. So i have these sheets printed out with date, time start, time finish, profit/loss, 2 boxes to tick when i make bad mistakes and a section to write a review. Theres not much to reviewing a 1-2hr session anyway rather than trying to review at the end of the day so i dont mind it. Its mostly a discipline exercise because as you can see last month i made -$500 which if it continues ill be out of business in a couple of months.

Now anyone following this from GJP will be delighted with the following, ive giving up on the rakerace, i was in with a great shout of winning it but although i tried to convince myself i was coping with 9 tables i was timing out too much when trying to write notes, making rushed decisions, constantly seeing zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz in the chat box etc etc and i feel i have a great nose for the stats so reducing my tables to 6 and concentrating on them will obviously greatly benefit me. Ill probably only be playing 8-10k hands a week and will quickly fall from the rakerace but i think its well worth it as i also find myself being forcing into playing a rediculous amount of hands to keep up with the rakerace rather than playing when im up for it. For example the few days before i went on Holiday i was playing 4-5k hands per day to beef me up for the days i would miss while i was away.

I really do feel ive improved so much over this last 4 weeks and i strongly believe that when we hit a bad run like this we learn a great deal about our game and put alot more effort into finding leaks which we dont seem to do when running well. So i can honestly say i no longer have any excuses for a bad performance other than bad variance, thats not to say i dont have other leaks but i certainly have plugged alot over the last few weeks and i was running very well before this so as i say no more excuses.

Month 6 Week 4 Completion

100nl Stats

17,777 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$440.53
BB/100 -1.24(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 14%
Post Flop Aggro 2.25
Showdowns Won 49%
Rakeback $513.00(Estimated)

Total Proft/Loss +$74.47

Ok i fell behind on updating due to being over in Cardiff for the Wales match, great city, lovely people and someone ill definetely a city ill look to go back to. 3 hours drive to Rosslare, 3 hours on the ferry and 3 hours on a bus from Fishgaurd to Cardiff followed by mountains of drink can really take it out of you but hell was it worth it and there was actually a great atmosphere at the game which surprised me giving it was essentially a friendly.

If this is what millenium stadium is like when its half full id dearly love to see it full to capacity, the atmosphere must be mindblowing. So i can only hope we get a few more exotic/interesting countries to visit when the World Cup draw is done on Sunday and ive said my prayers that we dont get Slovakia after visiting there for the Slovakia game earlier in the year i feel thats only a suitable place to send the prisoners from Guantanamo bay, although may be a bit too harsh and i wouldnt be surprised if they asked to go back.

Anyway enough of non poker events, another poor week which ill go into details in the above weekly update and heres the Monthly update below.

35,893 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$1,523.47
BB/100 -2.12(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 2.3
Showdowns Won 49%
Rakeback $1077.00(Estimated)

Total Proft/Loss -$446.47

Friday, November 9, 2007

Month 6 Week 3 completion

100nl Stats

12,658 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$819.43
BB/100 -3.24(Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 21%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.30
Showdowns Won 49%
Rakeback $392.00(Estimated)

Total Proft/Loss -$427.43

The week started great making nearly 8 buyins after the 1st day but quickly went downhill after that. I felt i was playing well bar one blowup which cost me about 4 buyins after i suffered alot of bad beats. Any i also quit the last few hours of the job as i was doing but as its a family business the job and any amount of hours is always open to me so its not exactly a risk and this is what i want to be doing.

This should allow me to play cira 15k hands a week and im also switching to mini view tables so i may be able to add a few more tables but its not a priority and if im not comfortable playing more than 8 then i wont, rake isnt as important to me now as it was a couple of months ago, my performance is.

Anyway i should have put in 15k hands this week but for the last 2 days i spent my time analyzing where i might be going wrong, i came to the conclusion and im getting sick of it at this stage that my 3betting is very weak and spewy and i have to get a handle on it, i dont want to go into what im going to change as it may be giving away too many secrets but i really feel i have a handle on it. It was a tough week and i learned alot and i also want to continue to improve what i touched on the week before where i want to think logically through each hands and i made steps towards that during the week and hopefully ill continue this week.

Once again im really looking forward to this week and putting things right so well see where things will take us.


Wednesday, October 31, 2007

Month 6 Week 2 Completion - Shot at 200nl but back to 100nl

Well as the title suggests i took a shot at 200nl, played well was up about $650 after the 1st day but i hit some horrible horrible variance on the 2nd day and lost about $1300 or more and ended up about $700 or so down in total. At this point i decided to move back to 100nl and wait till im properly bankrolled.

I played some horrible stuff at 100nl drifting back into my usual 3betting light without any clue what im at and getting in lots of trouble that was followed by more solid play at 100nl but i again hit some terrible variance.

Anyway i setup a new database when i moved up but i had a 2nd pc datamining and i ended up with double stats between the 2 different databases so i dont have any accurate stats but i know exactly what i lost:

100nl & 200nl
Estimated 6.5k Hand Played in total
Loss -$1096
Rakeback Approx $250
Total Loss -$846.00

So ive been putting it off long enough, 3betting has been putting me into alot of bad spots and as soon as i tighten up i start playing well but whenever i slip into an aggressive 3betting mood i can really hit some high variance as ive seen in many of the shocking swings ive had over the past few weeks. So i played very little and concentrated on going through alot of 200nl cardrunners videos to see how 3betting should go and as usual cardrunners is great for showing how simplistic things should be done and my 3betting style is way too aggressive. Ill watch a few more videos and ill read up a bit more on 3betting until im confident what im at but some of the hands ive been 3betting and calling 3bets with are ridiculous.

The other thing im going to try to develop is thinking through my logical thinking on a hand before i make turn/river calls. I think one of my strong suits is looking at a hand history and logically thinking through what my villains range is based on stats, betting patterns etc, but i find too often at the time i just make a decision without running that same logical process through my head that i would when analyzing a HH and i end up calling the likes of an all in with a flush on a paired board when if i think about it logically i know its not +EV to make the call even if hes bluffing sometimes. If i use this effectively my win rate will definetely improve alot. I need something to force me to do this in the beggining until it becomes 2nd nature like maybe writing down on a piece of paper what hands i think he would do this with before calling or talking the logical process i think when reviewing a HH so im forcing myself to hear my taughts, i know i wont work this into my game instantly but over the next week i hope to improve it drastically.

What i really want now is stability and i plan on making no moves to 200nl this side of Christmas, i want to apply the above to my game and get a good 6-8 weeks at 100nl where i want to really beat the level comfortably and keep my discipline as its becoming increasingly obvious that ive let my discipline drop over the last few weeks and i want to prove to myself im capable of beating this level. Im really confident i can do this and i expect to see some seriously good results in the next few weeks.

Friday, October 26, 2007

Month 6 Week 1 Completion

100nl Stats

8,578 Hands Played
Profit/Loss +$1,153.40
BB/100 6.72 (Poker Tracker)
V$PIP 20%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 2.13
Showdowns Won 52%
Rakeback $280.00(Estimated)
Joker Points Bonus $45
Total Proft/Loss +$1,478.40

Good week again and back on track, didnt play as many hands as i would have liked though but played a solid game. As you can see from the graph i had a great start to the week winning $1k in 2 x 2hr sessions and the rest of the week was a bit up and down but i was happy with my play. Im going to take a shot at 200nl next week, im under-rolled to be honest with about 4k but ive around $1k of rakeback due early next month so if i lose 4-5 buyins ill add that 1k to my bankroll and drop back and if i go well ill let the bankroll build to $7k and stay at 100nl.

Friday, October 19, 2007

Month 5 Week 4 Completion

100nl Stats

11,009 Hands Played
Profit/Loss -$523.93
BB/100 -2.38
V$PIP 21%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 1.85
Showdowns Won 48%
Rakeback $305.00 (Estimated)
Total Proft/Loss -$218.93

Another Tough Week and i burst out of the traps to a quick 1k profit before hitting a horrible patch of variance and i struggled to get going after that and it quickly turned sour and into a downward spiral. I got all in with the best hand so many times to get outdrawn it was sick but funnily enough i think i learn more during a tough week than i do when im coasting because i analyze my play more and think more about what plays are getting me into bad situations.



Ive noticed over the past few weeks ive had some serious downswings in 1 session upto 9 buyins down for example but ive recovered a few times against the odds but i wonder should i be quitting the session earlier and taking a break, i find it hard to quit in the middle of a session when im down and ill end up playing a longer session than normal to try and recover. Ill see if i can get some advice from people on it but i think its a weakness i have and i tend not to over tilt but i will make loose calls when i play in extended sessions.


The one thing i can take from this is its the 1st time in 2 months that ive finished with a loss which is something i can take from this rough patch but im confident now that over a extended period i am and will continue to be a winning player at 100nl and i have to master 3betting light and the concepts it involves before i can think of moving up to 200nl.

Heres the End of Months Stats for 100nl:

42,121 Played
Profit/Loss +$3,025.61
BB/100 3.59
V$PIP 20%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 2.07
Showdowns Won 50%
Rakeback $1,206.68
Total Proft/Loss +$4232.29

Approx $44 per Hour incl Rakeback for 96 hours

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Month 5 Week 3 Completion

Tough Week, I twice came back from $600 and $900 down to recover to a small loss and a small profit, i wasnt satisfied but just like a big favourite in a soccer game whos expected to win a game easily to go 2-0 down and come back and draw although theyll be disappointed of course it almost feels like a victory, i then followed that with a small win followed by a $450 dowswing but i came back strong in the last 2 days to a somewhat respectable level giving the week i had.



I decided against moving up quickly, somewhat because the bad variance hit home and reminds me how easy it is to lose a large % of your roll quickly and 2nd because i have a couple of trips planned before christmas so i want to concentrate on paying bills so ill have plenty available and also christmas itself when ill probably be playing very little and drinking alot, God i love the christmas sessions, you get to meet all your mates that have retired to family life and you dont see that often so its great to catch up.

Anyway difficult week but i finshed strong and i think ive got the variance out of the way for now but im sure i can expect alot worse in the future. With good bankroll management and logical thinking variance isnt really a bad thing, its basically odds evening out over a long period so if i have terrible variance this month in the coming months i can expect some good variance as things even themselves out and i think some people forget that AA vs QQ or AA vs S/C will win 1 time in 5, it has to happen so you just need to deal with it and get on.

Ive moved to GJP and so my rakeback will be paid early each month now but i can still calculate it via poker tracker so ill keep it updated weekly. When i moved i got a clean slate so i decided not to be doing silly things as i felt i was over 3betting and so i was getting called down too much by people who probably had notes on me. of coures thats great when you have a premium hand but if im being very aggressive ill have a marginal hand more often that a premium hand. So i think overall considering the downswing ive recovered well, didnt let tilt get too much hold of me when i was down there although there was occassions i did let it possess me but i guess thats to be expected, point being i got stuck in and recovered well instad of moaning about it and it paid off.

100nl Stats

12,772 Hands Played
Profit +$379.12
BB/100 1.48
V$PIP 20%
PFR 15%
Post Flop Aggro 2.14
Showdowns Won 50%
Rakeback $393.68

Never play tourneys but i chanced my arm at the GP $2.5k Freezout on Ipoker and finsihed 8 for $68 profit when i hit 2 pair and villain hit runner runner to hit 4 to a flush and knock me out, if id won i would have gone 4th in chips but not to be.

Tourney Profit: $68

Total Proft/Loss +$840.80

Thursday, October 4, 2007

Month 5 Week 2 Completion

100nl Stats

11,985 Hands Played
Profit +$1,653.86
BB/100 6.90
V$PIP 21%
PFR 16%
Post Flop Aggro 2.14
Showdowns Won 54%
Rakeback $350

Total Proft/Loss +$2,003.86



Funny week, i ran well no doubt about that but i started getting into 3/4betting light alot more and even though i actually done ok i made some horrible calls, i made some good bluffs after 3bets and got called with a few bluffs but i was definetley on the better side of the results and i think my aggression over ran them until i got sloppy and became a calling station for a while (see 2 big yoyo dips in above chart), had i picked better spots to call light and not called all in a few times with the likes of BP etc i would have done so much better, i just think i lose my edge because when theres not alot of light 3betting i can read the opponents better because i can narrow their range much better.

In short ive alot to learn about 3/4 betting and i dont really need to be doing it that much at this level, ill get some coaching on it before a move up and watch alot of cardrunners videos but for now ill just calm it down a bit until i get the hang of it plus all those with notes on me 3betting light now will be calling me down lighter and ill have tightened up so ill have an edge.

Got my New Dell Monitor and have increased to 8tabling from 5tabling. Heres some screenshots, the bit with the fire background is my 2nd smaller monitor so you can see the difference in dimesions between the 2:














Its pretty damn cool and worth every penny, but its looking lonely so maybe sometime in the future ill have to get it a partner. It wont be long paying for itself by the look of it through rakeback and also the extra im winning extra by playing 3 more tables while im showing a profit. On that note im also moving back to GJP, my Rakeback/Loyalty Scheme will now be paid monthly so ill update it whenever it arrives early each month. I hope my new home is good to me.

Im starting to get the bug to move up although id rather just keep going at this rate to get a better idea of where im really at over a larger sample. The last thing i want is to move up and get hammered and lose a few K of the bankroll and have to start again.

My bankroll was 3k when i moved to 100nl 3 or 4 weeks ago, ive been mostly withdrawing the majority of profits to my credit card and bank but ive added a small portion each week and my bankroll is 3.8k now. I could easily not withdraw for 3-4 weeks and if i continue to run as good ill be around the 7k mark which would be sufficent to move up but id much rather have that money cleared off my credit card etc, as im off the drink for a month ill need very little cash for myself so i might put whatever money i would have been withdrawing into my bankroll and the rest in the credit card, ill see how things go.

Thursday, September 27, 2007

Month 5 Week 1 Completion

100nl Stats

6,355 Hands Played
Profit +$1,516.56
BB/100 11.93
V$PIP 20.5%
PFR 16.5%
Post Flop Aggro 2.17
Showdowns Won 50%
Rakeback $160.00

Total Proft/Loss +$1676.56

Another Good week but i have to be honest and say i havent played as bad as i did in the last 2 days in a long time. Really Spewy stuff like calling all in with AQs, calling a 3bet with 34s and getting all in with BP etc etc.

I think alot of the problems are coming from my new style where i like to raise or fold the SB, then i was telling myself when they 3bet me there only doing it because im being aggressive from the blinds when in fact their stats show they fold a high % in the BB. Anyway even though i played horrible both days i managed to recover from 2-3 Buyins down to 2-3.5 buyins up, if i had been consistent throughout i could have easily had at least 5 more buyins this week.



I think i need to be more disciplined, realising that i need to appreciate the importance of making the best decision every time to make sure my edge on my opponents is a big as possible by not making mistakes. Its not that easy to make the right decision every single time for my typical 1k-1.5k day session but if im going to be successful at this its what i need to do because i wont get away with it at higher levels.



So im expecting my new Dell 2407 24" 1900 x 1200 baby tommorrow or Monday and i will start increasing from 5tabling to 8 tabling gradually. It feels so great to be able to buy something from money i made from poker, such a satisfying feeling. Ill also be taking a nice little junk out of my credit card, padding my bankroll and withdrawing a few bob for myself. Im currently playing about 15-20 hours 5 tabling a week so my hourly rate is quite good now. Dvdfan over and Out!